Monday, 18 August 2014

Green energy and jobs... oh and the EU...

Reading on The Telegraph yesterday I found out that "EU green energy laws 'put 1.5m UK manufacturing jobs at risk'". Now, this is mainly The Telegraph repeating a report of the Business for Britain (BfB) Eurosceptic group.

The storyline that the authors put together is that the EU is the source of green energy laws and these laws increase energy costs which eventually threaten the profitability of energy intensive industries which may leave the country as a result and leave behind them unemployed people...

Is this exaggerated maybe?

I should first of all clarify that:

1. Yes, there are energy intensive industries in the UK (and the rest of Europe) and yes, they would love to have low energy prices. In fact, I would also love them to have low energy prices, at least at levels that they would prefer to stay in the UK than leave.

2. Yes, that's an important debate especially when you realise that it's not just the low Chinese energy costs we're competing against but the very low energy costs available in the US (there's a link to shale gas on that matter but I will come to this at a later post). So it's not any more a decision between establishing factories in developed or developing countries but a direct comparison between developed economies.

and then add a few thoughts and observations to the debate:

a. The main Green Energy Laws that the article cites are really one, the Emissions Trade Scheme (EU-ETS). The Renewable Obligation (RO), also mentioned in the article, is not quite an EU law at all.

b. Increased use of renewable energy, which is the aim of RO, is aligned with the current EU policies. Specifically, those looking to achieve an average of 20% share for renewable energy across the EU by 2020. However, a new binding target for renewable energy for 2030 is far from certain.

c. Coming back to what is actually EU law, the EU-ETS has so far recorded rock-bottom carbon prices. Did it really threaten any of the large manufacturers? Not the least, since they've all budgeted for significantly higher prices which were never realised. Whether EU-ETS will survive post-2020 remains an open question.

d. The UK, and not the EU, has the Climate Change Act 2008 which requires the country to reduce its carbon emissions by 80% between 1990 and 2050. This is achievable with a combination of measures relating to improved energy efficiency, increased use of renewable energy sources and nuclear energy. That's the most demanding, long-term climate change target that exists out there and makes the UK world leader in the Climate Change agenda.

So, at this stage let's get one thing right. It's not the EU green energy laws but the UK laws that drive renewable energy investment in the UK. Green energy laws is not a good enough reason to be Eurosceptic I think!

Next post will be about the green levies and their "huge" impact on our bills which was not. Probably linking it with how the Coalition Government handled this issue...